Moura vs Ferreiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
MOU
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
LUS
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
QUA
0 - 0
MOU
32%
28%
40%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
QUA
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
MOU
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
PRA
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
FER
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALJ
3 - 2
FER
34%
24%
41%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
ALJ
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OPE
3 - 0
FER
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |