Moura vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 0
MOU
34%
28%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
COV
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
MOU
24%
26%
51%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 1
MOU
32%
28%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 0
LUS
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
FCC
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 2
FCC
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 3
LOU
34%
24%
43%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COV
0 - 0
FCC
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |