Moura vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
MOU
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 2
MOU
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MOU
2 - 0
SES
67%
18%
14%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 1
EVN
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 3
MOU
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 2
LUS
15%
22%
64%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SES
1 - 0
FCC
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 3
VAS
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |