Moura vs Cova Piedade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
MOU
24%
26%
51%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 1
MOU
32%
28%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MOU
0 - 0
FCB
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 6
MOU
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
COV
2 - 2
LUS
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 2
COV
23%
23%
55%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COV
0 - 0
FCC
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
5 - 0
COV
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
COV
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |