Moura vs Atlético Reguengos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 1
MOU
32%
28%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MOU
0 - 0
FCB
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 6
MOU
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 0
ALM
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 3
MOU
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Reguengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 4
LUS
53%
24%
22%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 2
ATL
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 1
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 1
ATL
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
LOU
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |