Moura vs Almancilense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 3
MOU
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MOU
4 - 2
LOU
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
COV
1 - 0
MOU
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
ANG
46%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 1
JUV
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 2
LUS
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
FCB
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 1
ALM
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 2
OLH
13%
18%
69%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
4 - 3
LOU
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |