Mt Gravatt Hawks vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mt Gravatt Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
4 - 2
MGH
56%
19%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MGH
4 - 0
ACA
70%
17%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 3
MGH
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MGH
1 - 1
STO
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MGH
4 - 0
WES
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 1
RED
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BRK
3 - 3
UNI
28%
21%
52%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
VIR
43%
21%
36%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NPI
0 - 1
UNI
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
PIN
2 - 1
UNI
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |