Mt Gravatt Hawks vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
49.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mt Gravatt Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
STO
4 - 1
MGH
75%
14%
11%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MGH
1 - 1
NEW
8%
13%
80%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NPI
3 - 2
MGH
28%
20%
52%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MGH
1 - 2
BRI
91%
7%
2%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PIN
6 - 1
MGH
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
ACA
29%
24%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
RED
3 - 4
UNI
13%
17%
71%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
WES
0 - 2
UNI
50%
21%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 4
STO
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 1
UNI
87%
9%
5%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |