Mt Gravatt Hawks vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mt Gravatt Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GAP
2 - 1
MGH
15%
18%
67%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
MGH
2 - 2
GAP
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
WES
4 - 2
MGH
12%
17%
72%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
TOO
2 - 3
MGH
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MGH
2 - 1
GEO
9%
14%
77%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +3 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ALB
5 - 0
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 4
TLA
14%
17%
69%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
STO
1 - 0
UNI
43%
21%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 0
UNI
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
WES
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |