Mt Gravatt Hawks vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
62.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mt Gravatt Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ACA
3 - 1
MGH
72%
16%
13%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
MGH
0 - 2
BRK
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MGH
2 - 2
GAP
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
GRA
3 - 0
MGH
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MGH
0 - 2
ALB
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
BAY
28%
21%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
TAR
0 - 2
UNI
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
STO
0 - 3
UNI
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 0
VIR
47%
21%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
4 - 3
ACA
39%
22%
39%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |