Moulins vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 1
JUR
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LPV
0 - 0
MOU
19%
25%
56%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
NÎM
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
GRE
35%
29%
37%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MOA
1 - 3
MOU
42%
27%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 3
NIO
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
NIO
0 - 0
TOU
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
NIO
3 - 1
LES
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
BOU
2 - 1
NIO
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
NIO
0 - 0
RED
38%
27%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |