Motril CF vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 2
MOT
22%
28%
50%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
MOT
3 - 0
ALB
68%
19%
12%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ALH
1 - 2
MOT
44%
28%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
MOT
0 - 1
ANT
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 0
MOT
49%
27%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
LOJ
2 - 1
ALH
38%
27%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 0
LOJ
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
LOJ
0 - 2
FUE
29%
28%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
NIJ
0 - 0
LOJ
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
LOJ
1 - 2
HUE
34%
28%
39%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |