Motril CF vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
MEL
2 - 0
MOT
54%
27%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
SFE
1 - 1
MOT
35%
30%
35%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
MOT
3 - 1
GRA
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2000 |
BAL
1 - 0
MOT
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
MOT
2 - 1
POL
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
JER
2 - 1
AGD
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
JER
1 - 0
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
ALG
1 - 0
JER
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2000 |
JER
2 - 2
ALM
45%
28%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2000 |
CAD
2 - 4
JER
49%
27%
24%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |