Motril CF vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
ALG
1 - 0
MOT
35%
31%
35%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
MOT
0 - 1
ALM
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
CAD
1 - 1
MOT
47%
29%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
MOT
1 - 0
DBN
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
TAL
2 - 0
MOT
42%
30%
28%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
GUA
0 - 3
AGD
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
CDL
1 - 1
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
ALG
2 - 1
GUA
27%
26%
46%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
GUA
1 - 1
ALM
57%
25%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
CAD
3 - 1
GUA
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |