Motril CF vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 2
MOT
65%
23%
12%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
MOT
0 - 2
BAL
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
MOT
1 - 1
XER
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
POL
1 - 0
MOT
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
MOT
2 - 4
COR
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2001 |
SFE
1 - 1
AGD
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
GUA
1 - 0
SFE
50%
27%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
SFE
3 - 1
ALG
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
ALM
4 - 1
SFE
53%
27%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
SFE
0 - 1
CAD
42%
29%
29%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |