Motril CF vs CD Basto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
ALB
2 - 1
MOT
26%
30%
44%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
MOT
3 - 1
HUE
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
MOT
23%
30%
47%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
MOT
3 - 0
LOJ
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ARE
0 - 0
MOT
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
CDB
2 - 11
ROC
12%
21%
67%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
NIJ
5 - 0
CDB
77%
16%
8%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CDB
1 - 5
CAR
12%
20%
68%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CDV
6 - 0
CDB
82%
13%
6%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
CDB
0 - 8
MAR
15%
23%
62%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |