Motril CF vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
MOT
53%
24%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MOT
0 - 4
UDS
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MOT
0 - 1
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MOT
4 - 2
PAL
54%
23%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
MOT
38%
28%
35%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 1
ALH
31%
27%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
MAN
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 2
RON
21%
25%
55%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LOJ
3 - 1
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALH
2 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |