Motril CF vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
BAZ
0 - 1
MOT
37%
28%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
MOT
1 - 1
ALM
70%
18%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
UDS
0 - 1
MOT
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
MOT
0 - 2
SAN
75%
17%
9%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
MAR
47%
28%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CAR
3 - 0
MAN
65%
22%
13%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 0
ROC
29%
29%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VAN
2 - 2
MAN
37%
30%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 1
G74
19%
28%
54%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +2 |