Motril CF vs Atlético Bastetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
ANT
6 - 0
MOT
58%
19%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
MOT
1 - 2
ILI
65%
18%
18%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
UBE
7 - 0
MOT
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
MAR
2 - 0
MOT
69%
16%
15%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 1954 |
MOT
3 - 1
GRA
70%
16%
14%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético Bastetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
ATB
0 - 1
GRA
54%
20%
26%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
MAL
7 - 0
ATB
76%
13%
10%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
ATB
2 - 2
LIN
53%
20%
27%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
CAA
2 - 1
ATB
83%
11%
7%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1954 |
ATB
5 - 0
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +5 |