Motril CF C vs CD Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+995%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 4
CFM
56%
19%
25%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CFM
1 - 3
CDB
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
IGR
4 - 0
CFM
61%
19%
21%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CFM
1 - 1
GSR
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CFM
1 - 3
CDB
55%
21%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
CD Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDN
4 - 0
GRA
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GRN
2 - 0
CDN
59%
19%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CDN
3 - 0
ALM
39%
21%
40%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CFL
3 - 0
CDN
82%
12%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CDN
0 - 6
ADF
5%
11%
85%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |