Motor Lubawa vs Płomień Ełk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lubawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HUR
0 - 3
MLP
72%
18%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MLP
0 - 1
JAG
21%
21%
57%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
KOR
3 - 1
MLP
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MLP
1 - 1
TBP
52%
23%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LOM
1 - 0
MLP
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Płomień Ełk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PLE
2 - 0
MMP
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GKE
1 - 2
PLE
9%
16%
75%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PLE
0 - 2
WAG
88%
9%
4%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SOK
1 - 3
PLE
32%
23%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PLE
3 - 2
SDZ
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |