Motilla CF vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
MOT
2 - 2
QRE
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
MAN
1 - 1
MOT
32%
28%
41%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
MOT
1 - 0
CIU
85%
11%
4%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
MOT
3 - 1
GIM
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
GIM
2 - 0
MOT
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
TOM
1 - 1
ELD
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
MHN
1 - 1
TOM
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
TOM
0 - 2
ALC
44%
28%
28%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
TOM
3 - 0
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
BEN
1 - 0
TOM
61%
24%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |