Motherwell vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MHE
1 - 2
CEL
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ICT
1 - 2
MHE
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MHE
2 - 1
ABE
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
MHE
2 - 1
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
HAM
0 - 1
MHE
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
ICT
0 - 0
HOM
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 1
ABE
40%
25%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CEL
3 - 1
HOM
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HOM
0 - 3
STJ
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |