Motherwell vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
20%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1933 |
MHE
4 - 1
AIR
80%
11%
8%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1933 |
MHE
4 - 2
CEL
68%
18%
15%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1933 |
QUE
4 - 2
MHE
38%
22%
40%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1933 |
MHE
1 - 3
GLA
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1933 |
GRE
1 - 2
MHE
23%
20%
57%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1933 |
HOM
5 - 2
GRE
77%
14%
10%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1933 |
GLA
4 - 4
HOM
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1933 |
HOM
3 - 1
THE
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1933 |
CEL
3 - 2
HOM
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1933 |
HOM
3 - 1
TLA
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |