Motema Pembe vs Simba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motema Pembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
TPM
2 - 0
MOT
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
MOT
4 - 0
RAN
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
MOT
2 - 1
MAN
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
AFV
0 - 1
MOT
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 22 | 48 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 0
SAN
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
RAN
1 - 0
SIM
42%
27%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
SIM
1 - 0
SAN
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
SIM
1 - 0
AIG
53%
26%
20%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
SIM
1 - 2
FCT
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
TPM
2 - 1
SIM
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |