Motema Pembe vs ESAE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.9%
3.2%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motema Pembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ZAN
2 - 1
MOT
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MOT
1 - 0
RSB
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
RSB
3 - 0
MOT
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
SIM
0 - 2
MOT
32%
30%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
TPM
2 - 0
MOT
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
ESAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ADJ
1 - 5
RSB
5%
17%
79%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ASV
1 - 2
ADJ
52%
26%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ZAN
3 - 0
ADJ
79%
15%
7%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ADJ
1 - 2
PAN
39%
30%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
ADJ
0 - 0
ZAN
10%
19%
72%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |