Motala vs FBK Karlstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
5º
3º
27
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13.5% | 45% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 28% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 1
MOT
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
5 - 2
IFH
86%
9%
5%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 2
MOT
8%
13%
79%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
OSK
0 - 0
MOT
52%
21%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KUM
1 - 3
MOT
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 0
VFK
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 3
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
IKT
1 - 2
FBK
21%
23%
55%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
TRO
0 - 2
FBK
70%
17%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FBK
4 - 2
ENK
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |