Móstoles vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
STA
1 - 1
MST
30%
27%
42%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MST
3 - 1
ARA
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
ATM
0 - 3
MST
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MST
1 - 1
TOR
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CIE
2 - 1
MST
33%
28%
40%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
RMC
1 - 2
PNT
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PBO
1 - 0
RMC
16%
23%
62%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 1
RMC
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
RMC
1 - 1
STA
68%
19%
14%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ARA
1 - 3
RMC
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |