Móstoles vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ADP
1 - 2
MST
33%
27%
40%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
MST
4 - 0
ATM
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
VEC
2 - 2
MST
77%
16%
8%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
PEG
0 - 1
MST
45%
26%
28%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
MST
1 - 2
VEC
36%
30%
34%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SFN
2 - 1
COB
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
STA
4 - 4
SFN
35%
28%
38%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
SFN
2 - 0
ALA
84%
12%
4%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
LRZ
1 - 0
SFN
40%
29%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
SFN
1 - 0
MST
44%
27%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |