Móstoles CF vs Union Deportiva Usera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
56.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CDF
1 - 1
MOS
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 3
MOS
44%
24%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 0
CMP
38%
25%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
YEB
6 - 2
MOS
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 2
IVA
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Deportiva Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
3 - 2
VLO
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDF
2 - 4
UNI
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
4 - 0
SAR
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CMP
1 - 3
UNI
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
YEB
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |