Móstoles CF vs CD Sitio de Aranjuez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
CMP
3 - 0
MOS
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 2
YEB
60%
21%
18%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
IVA
4 - 1
MOS
52%
24%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 0
SIE
19%
23%
59%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
GSC
1 - 0
MOS
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Sitio de Aranjuez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 2
UNI
18%
21%
62%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
CDF
4 - 0
SAR
44%
23%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
VLO
4 - 0
SAR
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 0
CMP
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
YEB
1 - 0
SAR
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |