Móstoles CF vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CDV
3 - 0
MOS
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MOS
0 - 0
MOB
26%
23%
52%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CDE
0 - 0
MOS
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MOS
3 - 5
NAV
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
3 - 0
MOS
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 3
UNI
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CDF
0 - 3
ARA
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 1
SAR
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CMP
1 - 0
ARA
27%
23%
51%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ARA
3 - 0
YEB
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |