Móstoles CF vs CDC Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
RBR
1 - 2
MOS
25%
22%
53%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MOS
3 - 1
IBT
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LUL
0 - 2
MOS
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MOS
3 - 0
UCA
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ROZ
2 - 1
MOS
25%
21%
53%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CDC Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
VDO
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
RBR
67%
17%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
IBT
2 - 4
COM
28%
22%
50%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
LUL
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UCA
3 - 3
COM
13%
17%
69%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |