Móstoles CF vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
YEB
0 - 2
MOS
12%
19%
69%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MOS
2 - 0
ARA
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MOS
2 - 1
CDF
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
COS
2 - 3
MOS
19%
22%
59%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MOS
2 - 2
IDM
68%
18%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LUG
3 - 2
ARG
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
URS
2 - 1
LUG
51%
24%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VLO
3 - 1
LUG
41%
27%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
CLA
51%
23%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SAR
0 - 3
LUG
40%
27%
34%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |