Móstoles CF vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ACS
1 - 2
MOS
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MOS
1 - 0
SAR
44%
23%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CDE
4 - 1
MOS
37%
23%
41%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
YEB
1 - 0
MOS
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MOS
2 - 0
TVA
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
YEB
56%
23%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TVA
1 - 4
LUG
32%
27%
41%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
FPG
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ARG
0 - 0
LUG
18%
25%
57%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
3 - 3
MOB
64%
21%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |