Móstoles CF vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 0
MOS
18%
23%
60%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 2
YEB
74%
17%
9%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOB
0 - 1
MOS
18%
22%
60%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 2
RMC
40%
23%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MOB
0 - 1
MOS
26%
25%
49%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 1
SAR
44%
24%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 1
CDF
78%
14%
7%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDF
1 - 1
ALA
16%
21%
64%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 2
CDF
67%
19%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 1
VIL
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |