Móstoles CF C vs FS Navalcarnero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
54.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MOS
2 - 2
CDC
50%
20%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
8 - 0
MOS
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MOS
5 - 1
TGA
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ESC
4 - 3
MOS
45%
21%
34%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 3
CDE
37%
21%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FS Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NAV
3 - 2
MOS
73%
14%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PEA
2 - 5
NAV
28%
19%
53%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NAV
6 - 6
CDC
74%
14%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 1
NAV
66%
17%
18%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
NAV
6 - 1
TGA
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |