Mosta vs San Gwann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MOS
1 - 5
TAR
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MOS
0 - 2
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MOS
1 - 3
PIE
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SGC
1 - 0
MOS
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MOS
0 - 1
ZAB
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FLO
4 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SGC
7 - 2
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 1
ZAB
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +3 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DIN
2 - 2
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 3
RAB
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |