Mosta vs Marsa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
MOS
0 - 5
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
MOS
1 - 4
FLO
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 0
MOS
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2003 |
BIR
2 - 0
MOS
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
MOS
0 - 2
PIE
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
MOS
0 - 5
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 5
SLI
13%
18%
69%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
FLO
1 - 3
MAR
61%
21%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 2
HIB
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |