Mosta vs Dingli Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SGC
1 - 1
MOS
45%
24%
32%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MOS
4 - 0
MSI
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MQA
0 - 0
MOS
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
MOS
2 - 0
LIJ
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 1
MOS
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dingli Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
DIN
4 - 1
PIE
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MEL
3 - 1
DIN
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
DIN
0 - 0
SAI
42%
25%
34%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
DIN
1 - 1
SGC
34%
25%
42%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MSI
0 - 2
DIN
41%
23%
37%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |