Mossley vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
MOS
1 - 0
CLI
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
EAS
2 - 2
MOS
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
SHE
2 - 1
MOS
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
MOS
2 - 1
KID
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
MOS
2 - 0
STO
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
SHE
4 - 0
FLE
18%
23%
60%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
ROU
2 - 4
SHE
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
SHE
1 - 1
OSS
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
SHE
2 - 1
MOS
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
SHE
0 - 1
BEL
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |