Mossley vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 2
MOS
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
MOS
0 - 2
KID
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
MOS
2 - 2
WIL
33%
24%
42%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
MOS
3 - 1
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
EAS
1 - 1
MOS
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
SHE
5 - 2
ROC
85%
11%
5%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
SHE
1 - 1
ROU
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
COL
3 - 0
SHE
66%
20%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CHO
5 - 0
SHE
65%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
EAS
4 - 1
SHE
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |