Mossley vs Pontefract Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
61%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MOS
0 - 4
TAD
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MOS
2 - 0
WOR
45%
24%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +4 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
PIC
3 - 2
MOS
17%
18%
65%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
MOS
2 - 3
WID
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MOS
5 - 0
KEN
87%
10%
3%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ASH
1 - 0
PON
30%
20%
50%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DRO
1 - 4
PON
18%
18%
65%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
GLO
1 - 3
PON
13%
16%
72%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
HEB
0 - 4
PON
12%
15%
74%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
PON
2 - 0
RAM
37%
25%
39%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |