Mossley vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
MOS
3 - 0
NEW
88%
9%
3%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
OSS
2 - 2
MOS
22%
23%
55%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MOS
0 - 1
PRE
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MOS
2 - 3
WAR
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 0
MOS
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 4
GLO
16%
22%
62%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
OSS
2 - 1
HAR
33%
24%
44%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BUR
3 - 2
HAR
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TRA
6 - 0
HAR
30%
23%
48%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -3 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 0
MOS
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |