Mossley vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
WAR
0 - 1
MOS
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MOS
1 - 0
CLI
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
COL
6 - 1
MOS
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MOS
0 - 1
SKE
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MOS
1 - 1
LAN
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
OSS
2 - 0
HAR
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SKE
2 - 4
HAR
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
GAR
4 - 1
HAR
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
HAR
4 - 2
TRA
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 2
HAR
55%
24%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |