Mossley vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
MOS
2 - 1
CHO
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 1
MOS
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
ROU
2 - 5
MOS
31%
25%
45%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
MOS
0 - 1
OSS
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SHE
0 - 1
MOS
22%
23%
56%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 0
ROC
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 2
AFC
20%
24%
56%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WOS
0 - 0
GRE
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 0
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
KEN
1 - 2
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |