Mossley vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
MOS
2 - 1
RAD
49%
23%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MOS
0 - 1
LAN
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
COL
2 - 1
MOS
61%
18%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MOS
1 - 4
HYD
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
OSS
2 - 1
MOS
32%
23%
46%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 0
GOO
45%
24%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GOO
0 - 1
RAD
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TAD
3 - 0
GOO
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GOO
0 - 3
OSS
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
GOO
1 - 1
LAN
14%
21%
65%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +1 |