Mossley vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
MOS
2 - 3
CLI
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FAR
0 - 4
MOS
69%
18%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 2
MOS
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MOS
1 - 0
BAM
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +3 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 6
MOS
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 0
GOO
44%
23%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GOO
0 - 2
RAM
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
GOO
3 - 1
OSS
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 1
GOO
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
GOO
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |