FA Cup 1/1024
Global 2-4
Mossley vs AFC Emley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 2
VAU
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAM
0 - 4
MOS
69%
18%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 0
TRA
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 1
MOS
19%
20%
61%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 0
WID
49%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Emley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
AFC
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 0
KNA
72%
16%
13%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
4 - 1
WID
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WID
1 - 1
AFC
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
LBR
1 - 5
AFC
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |