Moss vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
MOS
2 - 2
VKG
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
STB
3 - 2
MOS
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
ODD
2 - 0
MOS
69%
18%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
MOS
0 - 1
BBS
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
SOG
0 - 4
MOS
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2002 |
VIF
1 - 1
BBS
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
SOG
2 - 0
VIF
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
VIF
0 - 2
STB
39%
25%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
BOG
2 - 2
VIF
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2002 |
VIF
5 - 0
LOR
87%
9%
3%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |